Pensions, from 1 January increase due to inflation: Inps simulations by income bracket
The increase in pension payments for 2026 is estimated to be between 1.4-1.5%, compared to 1.7% previously forecast, in line with consumer price forecasts
Key points
From 2026, an increase of pensions of 1.4 per cent is expected, which could eventually amount to 1.5 per cent. The latest projections of the Inps reason this percentage of revaluation of pension cheques at the inflation rate, compared to the 1.7 per cent that had been predicted in recent months, in line with the Foi (Families of blue and white-collar workers) consumer price index estimates for 2026.
The increase will take place according to income brackets
As is well known, the pension increase will be applied according to the income bracket, according to a staggered mechanism: it will be 100 per cent for paychecks up to four times the Inps minimum (EUR 603.40), 90 per cent for pensions between four and five times the minimum, and 75 per cent above.
Current simulations by the Inps are of a 1.4 per cent equalisation, applied according to the band mechanism, with full revaluation up to EUR 2,413 (4 times the minimum wage), 90 per cent up to EUR 3,017 (4 to 5 times the minimum wage), and 75 per cent above the threshold of 5 times.
Simulations by income bracket
A pension of 603 euros with equalisation of 1.4% in 2026 will rise to 611.44 euros (+8.44 euros), a pension of 1,000 euros will rise to 1,014 euros (+14 euros), from 1,500 euros it will rise to 1,521 euros (+21 euros), from 2,000 euros it will rise to 2,028 euros (+28 euros), from 2,500 euros it will rise to 2,534.88 euros (+34.88 euros). A pension cheque of 3 thousand euros with equalisation of 1.4% will become 3,041.18 euros (+41.18 euros), from 3,500 euros it will rise to 3,546.46 euros (+46.46 euros), from 4 thousand euros it will rise to 4,051.71 euros (+51.71 euros).
The actual impact on minimum treatment
It is worth noting that for 2025 the revaluation of pensions was 0.80 per cent, and for pensions at or below the minimum level there was also a transitional additional increase of 2.20 per cent that will end at the end of the year, but from 2026 the additional increase will be 1.3 per cent. The technical report of the last Budget Law had quantified the number of pensioners receiving the increase at 1.8 million, with a suspension of about 175 million for 2026.
