From 2027

Pensions 2027: possible three-month freeze for 64-year-olds

In the run-up to the Budget Law, the government is working to avert the raising of the age and contribution requirements of the Fornero law. If no corrective measures are taken, the threshold for retirement will rise to 67 years and 3 months, and that for early retirement to 43 years and one month of contributions for men and 42 years and one month for women

CLAUDIO DURIGON SOTTOSEGRETARIO, L'ITALIA DEI CONSERVATORI

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

In the run-up to the budget law, the government's technicians are working to avert the three-month increase in the retirement age and contribution requirements that would be triggered in 2027, according to the Tremonti Sacconi manoeuvre, and then the Fornero law.

With the mechanism that establishes an automatic link between the retirement age and life expectancy trends, in the absence of corrections, the threshold for the old age pension will rise from the current 67 years to 67 years and 3 months of seniority, while the threshold for the early retirement pension (regardless of age) will rise from 42 years and 10 months for men to 43 years and one month of contributions for men and from 41 years and 10 months to 42 years and one month of contributions for women.

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The hypothesis of an age requirement for early exit with the freezing of three months

There are two hypotheses being studied. The one that seems to have the best chance at the moment is to freeze this 'step' for three months in 2027, but only for those who have reached the age of 64. The knot, once again, is represented by the coverage, given that the solution must be found with the next Manoeuvre. According to the first calculations of the government and INPS technicians, the increase in pension requirements is estimated at over 2 billion euro in the two-year period 2027-28, and about 3 billion at full regime. With the 'stake' of 64 years, the cost would be reduced, the first rumours speak of 1.5 billion in the two-year period and about 2 billion at full regime.

Therefore, according to this hypothesis, which is still being evaluated within the government, there would be a freeze of three months for old age pensions in 2027 and people would retire at the age of 67 instead of 67 years and three months. In addition, an age criterion would be introduced to freeze the three-months step for early retirement: in practice, men who have reached 42 years and 10 months of contributions and women who have reached 41 years and 10 months, but who have not yet reached the age of 64, would not benefit from the three-month freeze for early retirement and would have to wait until they are 43 years and one month (men) and 42 years and one month (women) to retire early.

The hypothesis of a 'step' or 'window' in the two-year period

There is another hypothesis under consideration, theintroduction of a 'step' or a 'window' of an extra month in 2027 and one or two months in 2028. In essence, the age requirement for the old age pension would remain fixed at 67 until 2029 (instead of rising to 67 years and three months), but when the requirements are met, in 2027 one would have to wait another month to receive the cheque and in 2028 two months.

It is worth recalling, in this regard, that currently the contribution requirement for access to early retirement is 42 years and 10 months for men and 41 years and 10 months for women, until 31 December 2026, but a three-month moving 'window' has already been introduced: the pension is paid three months after the contribution requirement has been met.

If this second option were to become operational, three months would be added to the three months in 2027 and two months in 2028 before receiving the pension cheque.

The Durigon proposal for 64-year exit for workers in the mixed system

In the background remains the proposal put forward by the Undersecretary for Labour, Claudio Durigon, to allow workers who want to retire at 64 to do so using the severance pay set aside with the Inps.

This option is currently only available to workers in the contributory system (who started paying after 1995) who can retire at 64 years of age, if they have accrued an allowance equal to at least three times the social allowance (EUR 1,616): to reach this threshold they can add the pension accrued in a supplementary pension fund.

The Durigon proposal extends the possibility of retiring at the age of 64 also to workers in the mixed system (who started to pay before 1995), and in order to reach the requirement of an allowance equal to at least three times the social allowance, they can use the severance pay accumulated with the Inps and transform it into a pension annuity. then having their pension calculated entirely with the contributory system.

A second proposal, also put forward by Durigon, envisages strengthening the second pension pillar with automatic enrolment in the supplementary pension scheme for newly hired employees, who would confer their severance pay to the supplementary pension fund, and an opting-out mechanism to exercise the right of withdrawal during the six-month period.

According to estimates by Itinerari previdenziali, a potential audience of about 400-450,000 newly hired employees would be involved, for an estimated coverage of 60-80 million euro. An amendment to the last Manoeuvre that reopened a six-month period of silent consent on the model of that of 2007 was rejected by the State's General Accounting Office for lack of financial coverage; considering that the severance pay of workers employed in companies with more than 50 employees, if not devolved to pension funds, goes to the INPS, the participation of 10% of workers alone would have required coverage of 610 million euro for the lower revenue to the Institute, which amounted to 6.1 billion.

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