Spain

The Popular Party wins in Andalusia but depends on Vox. Psoe resists

The ultra-right force Vox stood at 13.8% of the vote and 15 seats, just one more than it controlled. But just enough to win the keys to governability, strengthening the negotiating role even of leader Santago Abascal at national level

People walk past an electoral poster of Andalusian regional president and People's Party (PP) candidate, Juanma Moreno Bonilla, during the Andalusian regional elections in Ronda, Spain May 17, 2026. REUTERS/Jon Nazca REUTERS

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

The Partido Popular of outgoing governor Juan Manuel Moreno Bonilla won the regional elections in Andalusia, but without confirming an absolute majority. The Pp stopped at 41.5% of the votes and 53 seats, five less than the 58 it controlled, two away from a majority of the 109 deputies in the Andalusian Chamber.

The result forces Moreno Bonilla, 56, in his third term, to seek the support of the ultra-right. A scenario already seen in recent months in Extremadura, Aragon and Castile and Leon, where the Pp won but had to come to terms with Vox. And which the governor had tried to avoid throughout the election campaign, displaying a moderate and centrist profile compared to the radical right, determined to impose the 'national priority' in access to aid and public services to immigrants also in the southern region of Spain, Europe's frontier.

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The Psoe, with the former vice-premier of finance candidate Maria Jesus Montero, obtains 22.8% of the votes and 28 deputies out of the 30 in the past legislature, representing the Socialists' worst performance in the former fiefdom, governed for almost 40 years and lost in 2018. In one of the eight Andalusian provinces, that of Almeria, land of immigrants and agrarian labourers, the Socialists slip as the third political force, behind Vox.

No 'comeback' for socialists

In Spain's most populous region, the vote is being read as a first round ahead of general elections in 2027. There has not been the hoped-for 'remontada' of the Socialists of Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, who bet on the party's No. 2, and until a few weeks ago his right-hand man, for the mission to lift the fortunes of the Psoe in the region besieged by the crisis and corruption trials of former leaders.

The ultra-right Vox force stood at 13.8% of the vote and 15 seats, just one more than it controlled. But just enough to win the keys to governability, strengthening the negotiating role even of leader Santago Abascal at the national level. "Vox is decisive for the fourth time in the last four regional elections in Spain. We have succeeded in Extremadura, Aragon, Castile and Leon, and now in Andalusia,' celebrated Abascal, pointing out the loss 'in votes and seats of the Pp and Psoe'.

Progressive Bloc stuck at 41 seats

On the other hand, a shift of consensus in the alternative left bloc favoured the anti-capitalist regionalist force Adelante Andalusia, which obtained 9.5% of the votes and quadrupled its representation from 2 to 8 seats, succeeding in overtaking Por Andalucia (Izquierda Unida, Sumar, Podemos, Verdes Equo, Alianza Verde), which is stuck at 4 seats, one less than it had in the last legislature. The sum of the progressive bloc stops at 41 seats, far from the 55 of the majority. And the Psoe cashes in on its fourth defeat in the electoral cycle dictated by the strategy set by the leader of the Pp, Alberto Nunez Feijoo, who anticipated the elections in the regions where the Populars govern, to highlight "the territorial weakness of the Socialists and Sanchoism".

Psoe has failed to capitalise on the discontent over public health and the scandals that have hit Moreno Bonilla's executive over the mismanagement of cancer screening, with errors and delays involving some 2,300 women. "These are not good results for us, we always aspire to win," Montero acknowledged. "The citizens place us in opposition and therefore we will work from there with all our initiative, capacity and mobilisation," he added.

"Andalusian Way" weakened

But the Pp also missed the main objective of accrediting itself as a majoritarian force by emancipating itself from Vox's embrace. And the result weakens the message of the 'Andalusian way', moderate and centrist, which the Populars were aiming at in the national elections. 'I will not let you down,' promised Moreno Bonilla, in assuring that he had 'received a clear and definitive mandate from the Andalusians, which we will honour'. In this context, voices within Psoe point out that Sanchez's party will be able to continue presenting itself as the embankment in the current international conjuncture in which the extreme right is advancing using new technologies and old propaganda. "We will continue to defend our values and ideas," they say, relying on Sanchez's international role as a leader of the global left against the wave led by Donald Trump. In the federal leadership, no one doubts his leadership in the year remaining to the 2027 politics. Neither do the Basque and Catalan nationalist allies of the Psoe-Sumar executive have any interest in an early return to the polls.

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