Climate change

Killer heat in Europe: heat-related deaths tripled, almost 500 in Milan and Rome

Global warming caused around 1,500 more deaths in Europe during recent heatwaves

Turisti si rinfrescano nelle fontane di Roma, 5 luglio 2025.  ANSA/MASSIMO PERCOSSI

3' min read

3' min read

Climate change tripled heat wave deaths in European cities during last week's surge. This is according to a rapid study led by scientists from Imperial College London and the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine and reported by Greenpeace.

According to the study, climate change intensified the recent European heat wave and increased the expected number of heat-related deaths by about 1,500 in 12 European cities. Focusing on ten heatwave days from 23 June to 2 July, the researchers estimated the death toll using peer-review methods and found that climate change tripled the number of heat-related deaths, with the use of fossil fuels increasing heatwave temperatures by up to 4 degrees Celsius in all cities.

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"Approximately 1,500 of the estimated 2,300 heat-related deaths, or 65 per cent, are the result of climate change," the study reads. "Climate change was responsible for an estimated 317 excess deaths in Milan, 286 in Barcelona, 235 in Paris, 171 in London, 164 in Rome, 108 in Madrid, 96 in Athens, 47 in Budapest, 31 in Zagreb, 21 in Frankfurt, 21 in Lisbon and 6 in Sassari."

According to the researchers, this means that the likely death toll from climate change-driven heat in many European cities was higher than other recent disasters, including the 2024 Valencia floods (224 deaths) and the 2021 floods in north-west Europe (243 deaths). People aged 65 and over accounted for 88% of climate change-related deaths.

"To put an end to this crisis, governments must abandon the use of fossil fuels and really get on the road of transition to renewables, and the big fossil fuel companies must start paying for the damage they are causing with their out-of-control emissions," says Federico Spadini of Greenpeace Italy's climate campaign.

Copernicus, June 2025 is the third warmest ever recorded

June 2025 was the third warmest globally, following the records of 2023 and 2024. Its average temperature stood at 16.46 degrees, which is 0.47 more than the 1991-2020 average. This was revealed in the monthly Copernicus report. Compared to the pre-industrial period, last month was 1.3 degrees warmer than the average and is the third month in the last 24 with a temperature below the symbolic threshold of 1.5 degrees set by the Paris Agreement. Looking at the period between July 2024 and June 2025, it was 1.55 degrees above the pre-industrial level. In Europe, the average temperature over land was 18.46 degrees, 1.10 above the 1991-2020 average, making the month the fifth warmest June in history. The Old Continent was also hit by two major heat waves in mid- and late June 2025, especially in the west and south. In large parts of the region, temperatures close to 38 degrees were recorded, corresponding to 'very severe heat stress'. In some parts of Portugal, perceived temperatures reached 48 degrees. An exceptional marine heat wave then developed in the western Mediterranean, leading to the highest daily temperature ever recorded for the entire region in June (27 degrees, i.e. 3.7 above the average for any month). Globally, the sea temperature reached 20.72 degrees, the third highest value for the month. By contrast, Arctic sea ice extent was 6 per cent below average - the second lowest ever seen in 47 years of measurements - while over the Arctic it was 9 per cent below average, the third lowest value recorded for the month.

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