Referendum, the clash rages on: here's what the latest polls say

The clash over the constitutional referendum on the separation of careers is heating up in the run-up to the referendum on 22 and 23 March. The latest occasion was the inauguration of the judicial year on 30 January at the Court of Cassation and on 31 January at the Appeal Courts. The polls published in the last month have multiplied. The general trend seems clear: apart from Ixè, which gives a very slight advantage for the 'yes' votes, all the other institutes indicate a broad consensus for those in favour of the reform (up to almost 20% gap with the 'no' votes), albeit with a turnout figure below 50% (but it should be remembered that for constitutional referendums there is no quorum).

According to voting intentions collected by the Noto Institute for Porta a Porta on 28 January, 45% of Italians say they will vote on 22 and 23 March. In particular, 59% of Italians would vote yes to the confirmation of the law on the separation of the careers of magistrates (as defined by Parliament), while 41% would vote for its repeal. The yes vote is even up from 57% in the previous survey in December.

The only institute that actually gives a head-to-head result is Ixè, which carried out a poll on 27 January. To the question "If the referendum were held today, would you vote to confirm or reject the justice reform approved by the Meloni government?" 50.1% answered yes and 49.9% answered no

The Piepoli institute published a poll on 16 January showing 59% 'yes' against 41% 'no'. In a poll published on 15 January on La 7 - PiazzaPulita, Eumetra MR reported that 52.7% would vote yes to the reform against 47.3% 'no'. Then on 13 January, Porta a Porta released an Only Numbers poll where the yes vote was 50.3%, the no vote 35.4% and the undecided 14% (0.3% the null).