Beverage

Soft drinks, the great heat did not drive consumption

Sales -4% compared to summer 2023, but types of beverages with a healthy footprint without caffeine and sugar or that focus on reducing calories are emerging. Lemonades and citronades are back in fashion

by Manuela Soressi

4' min read

4' min read

Among the records for summer 2024 is not the consumption of soft drinks: despite scorching temperatures and a boom in foreign tourists, volumes are lower than in 2023. In July, the large-scale retail trade sold 4 per cent less carbonated soft drinks and 2.5 per cent less thè cold than in the same month of 2023. A trend that has been going on for a while and which consolidates our role as last in the EU for per capita consumption of soft drinks (54 litres per year).

"Overall, in the space of 12 months, sales of soft drinks fell by -1.9% to 1.9 billion litres, while turnover grew by 5.0% to EUR 2.4 billion," explains Elena Pezzotti of Niq. So, the price increase did support growth in value but negatively affected volumes'. It is mainly carbonated drinks, which develop about 74% of the market, that are suffering: in one year they have lost 2.5% of volumes. However, thanks to a substantial increase in the average price per litre (+8.1%), they managed to collect 5.3% more than a year ago, exceeding EUR 1.7 billion.

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If there are fewer soft drinks in shopping trolleys than in the past, things are no better at home either. "Orders from bars, restaurants and hotels have not increased compared to summer 2023," says Silvia Pepe, sales manager of Pepe Bevande, the historic Roman distributor that serves the entire historic centre of the capital - with a few exceptions, such as tonic waters (also very popular for mixology, ed.)".

That the scenario is not satisfactory is also recognised by the trade association Assobibe. "The data seem to show that, despite the great heat, there is still suffering for part of the consumer portfolio," says Director General David Dabiankov Lorini. "However, we know that we will have a clearer picture at the end of the summer season: we are in fact aware that the sector is in the height of the seasonal peak and we therefore hope that the picture will improve.

Also looming on the sector is the so-called sugar tax. "Planned to come into force from July 2025, it is a new tax that will increase consumer prices, damage the Italian supply chain, and has no effect on health. In Italy, moreover, it lacks the prerequisites given that sales of sugary drinks have been falling for ten years (-27%) and only account for 1% of calories consumed. It is a measure that has not produced positive results for public health in the countries where it has been introduced, with obesity trends still on the rise (WHO data): for this reason, several states around the world have begun to eliminate it. Thanks also to protocols signed with the Ministry of Health, sugar released for consumption by our companies has been cut by 41% in recent years, without any tax. This measure depresses the market instead of facilitating growth and competitiveness. The sugar tax, in fact, will increase taxation by 28 per cent,' comments Giangiacomo Pierini, president of Assobibe, the Confindustria association representing soft drink producers in Italy.

Summer budget aside, it seems that the soft drink market is at a turning point: classic soft drinks, the ones that dominate the market, are facing changing consumer preferences (especially among the younger generation) and the emergence of new types of drinks. Therefore, fewer colas (-3.3% in one year) but more energy drinks are ending up in shopping trolleys, and more saline supplements and flavoured waters, a category that has exceeded EUR 100 million in sales (+9.2%).

"Despite a sustained average price per litre, these three are among the few types of beverages with a growth trend even in volume," adds Niq's Pezzotti. "This phenomenon is not surprising since wellness and health are the first priority for Italian consumers. The beverage giants are well aware of this: on the one hand they are expanding their offerings to cover the trendiest segments, and on the other they are reinterpreting their core products in a healthy key, for example by removing caffeine and sugars and reducing or eliminating calories (as happens in 71% of the products in Coca-Cola's portfolio in Italy)..

Even bubbles do not escape this health wave and have less appeal than in the past. In fact flat drinks have increased their sales in quantity (+0.1% per annum), also favoured by lower average price increases, and increased their turnover by 4.2% (EUR 605 million). The offer has also expanded with products with a more 'healthy' matrix, such as the natural sparkling mineral water drinks.
"A little over a year after their launch, the Ferrarelle soft drinks are recording a doubling of sales, with very positive performances both in large-scale distribution and in Horeca, positioning themselves in the most premium segment of the market," explain the company. After all, lemonade, orangeade and soda (as well as citronade and chinotto) represent the classic Italian non-alcoholic drink and, probably, also because of this 'vintage' character, they seem to hold up better to the reduction in consumption. "This summer we have recorded interesting increases for soft drinks with a more "historical" flavour, such as lemonades (+22% compared to the same period in 2023) le gassose (+21%) and cedrate (+16%)," they explain from Coop Alleanza 3.0, a major retailer with 345 shops from Friuli Venezia Giulia to Puglia.

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