The day

EU stock markets in the red amid tensions over the Strait of Hormuz and bond yields; Milan brings up the rear (-1.1 per cent); Wall Street down

Indices are under pressure due to rising crude oil prices, stemming from US-Iran tensions, and selling in the tech sector (amplified by the Nasdaq). Treasury yields have reached their highest level since 2007. The euro is trading below 1.16 dollars, whilst the spread closed higher at 82 points

Wells at the San Ardo Oil Field in San Ardo, Calif., Monday, March 9, 2026. (AP Photo/Nic Coury) APN

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - Inflation fears linked to rises in crude oil prices, global government bond yields at record levels and tensions in the Middle East, which show no sign of abating, are keeping European stock markets on tenterhooks. Meanwhile, Wall Street is also trading lower, with the Nasdaq seeing profit-taking in the tech sector, whilst the FTSE MIB in Milan is the worst performer on the continent.

According to Donald Trump, there are currently no talks with Iran, nor are any planned, whilst ‘the naval blockade remains fully in force’ and ‘the Strait of Hormuz is open and operational’. For its part, Tehran has reiterated that the strait will remain closed until the US lifts the naval blockade and oil sanctions, unfreezes Iranian assets and ceases military operations on various fronts. This news is causing concern amongst investors and, on the one hand, is fuelling the oil rally – with Brent remaining above $90 a barrel at $91.4 (+0.5%) – whilst, on the other hand, it is triggering a surge in bond yields. As a result, by the end of the day, all the major European stock markets were down, from London (FTSE 100) to Madrid (IBEX 35), via Frankfurt (DAX 40) and Paris (CAC 40).

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Wall Street falls, weighed down by Treasuries and profit-taking in tech

Wall Street is down, weighed down by a fresh rise in Treasury yields and rising oil prices following an attack on a ship leaving the Strait of Hormuz: the S&P 500 index fell by 0.66 per cent, recording its third consecutive modest loss since reaching an all-time high on Thursday. The Dow Jones fell by 0.22 per cent and the Nasdaq plunged by 1.33 per cent.

The yield on the 30-year bond reached its highest level since 2007, against a backdrop of growing concerns about inflation and the US fiscal situation. On the energy front, concerns are mounting that the Strait of Hormuz will not soon return to full operation, after the United States and Iran failed to reach a diplomatic agreement at the end of a 60-day truce aimed at ensuring the safety of shipping through the strait. Meanwhile, a Liberian-flagged cargo ship is reported to have been struck by an unidentified projectile approximately five nautical miles off the coast of Oman, resulting in one fatality amongst the crew.

St takes a tumble in Milan; Nexi and Eni lead the way

On the Milan stock exchange, at the close of trading, Nexi took the lead, pending confirmation of possible move by Stripe regarding PayPal and CDP’s moves regarding its shareholding. Oil companies are benefiting from the latest surge in crude oil prices, in particular Saipem and Eni. At the bottom of the table, the tech sector is struggling following the slump in Stmicroelectronics and Prysmian, whilst anticipation surrounding the IPO of the Chinese Unitree appears to be tempered by concerns regarding spending on artificial intelligence and the risk of a ‘bubble’, as also highlighted in an ECB report. The focus remains on the banking sector, with the CEO of Banca Monte Paschi Siena Luigi Lovaglio reportedly has not abandoned the idea of opposing the bid by Intesa Sanpaolo, despite the U-turn by Banco Bpm regarding a possible merger. Also in the red is Unicredit is also in the red, with the German government potentially considering the sale of a stake in Commerzbank, should they manage to agree on a common strategy.

Global bonds: 30-year yields at record levels

The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds has risen to its highest level in almost 20 years (5.31 per cent the day before, the highest closing level since 5.356 per cent on 12 June 2007). In Europe, the yield on the German Bund with a 30-year maturity is at its highest since 2011, whilst French yields with the same maturity are at their highest since 2008. In the UK, Gilt yields are, however, just shy of the post-1998 high reached in the first few weeks of the war with Iran. In Japan too, 30-year yields have approached their all-time high.

Borsa a metà seduta

Euro falls below $1.16, oil prices surge

Towards the end of the trading session, as tensions in the Middle East flared up again, Brent crude for October rose back to $91 a barrel, whilst WTI stood at around $85. Turning to the foreign exchange market, the dollar is trading at 1.1578 to the euro (down from 1.1585 at yesterday’s close) and is worth 159.61 yen (down from 159.35), whilst the euro/yen exchange rate stands at 184.79 (down from 184.60). Among commodities, gold is falling, with the spot price at $4.355 per ounce (-1.3%), whilst gas in Amsterdam is up 3.2% to €63.78 per megawatt-hour.

Spread closes higher at 82 points, yield at 4.07%

Finally, the closing level was very close to the 2026 highs for 10-year BTp yields in a session of widespread selling of government bonds across Europe, the US and Japan, driven by fears of inflation – fuelled by oil prices – and concerns over potential intervention by central banks. The 10-year BTp, maturing on 1 July 2036, closed at a yield of 4.07%, up from 4.01% the previous day, approaching this year’s peak (4.1% at the end of March), in the wake of the 15-year highs reached by the 10-year Bund. The spread with the German bond has widened to 82 points from 79. The French 10-year bond also hit a long-standing record with a yield of 4.11 per cent, a level not seen since 2008

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