Electric cars

Tesla, sales also down in May in Europe. France -70%, Italy -20%.

The only exception is Norway, while in China it is -15% year-on-year. June gets off to a bad start on the stock exchange, one of the most delicate moments is approaching: on 12 June, the robotaxi service will be launched in Austin

by Alberto Annicchiarico

Aggiornato il 4 giugno, ore 16:00

Tesla parcheggiate in una stazione di ricarica il 19 maggio 2025 a San Francisco, California.  Justin Sullivan/Getty Images/AFP (Foto di JUSTIN SULLIVAN / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)

4' min read

4' min read

Tesla's crisis in the Old Continent deepens. The May figures confirm a double-digit drop in registrations for the fifth consecutive month. In key markets such as Germany, France, Sweden and Denmark, the American manufacturer is losing ground, while European and Chinese competitors are advancing. Only Norway stands out thanks to the restyling of the Model Y, but it is not enough to hide the structural weakness. In the stock market, the share price retreated after a month of growth driven more by narrative than by solid fundamentals.

The numbers are unequivocal. In Portugal, -68% compared to May 2024, with just 292 units. In France, the second largest European market for Tesla, the drop is 67%, the worst result since 2021. Sweden -53.7%, Denmark -30.5%. In the Netherlands, -36%, and in Spain -29% with 794 vehicles. In Norway, sales rose 213% in May (2,600 vs. 832 a year ago, the Norwegian market stands at around 130,000 registered units per year), driven by the new Model Y Juniper and local incentives; the aggregate figure since the beginning of the year shows +8.3%, below the market average.

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Germany deserves a separate discussion, where the Texan brand's market declined by more than a third in May, according to data from the German agency KBA, despite Bev's sales increasing by 44.9%. KBA said Tesla sold 1,210 cars in Germany in May, down 36.2% year-on-year. Sales of Chinese rival BYD increased nine-fold to 1,857 units in May.

And while Tesla is retreating by more than 40 per cent on average in Europe, the market is growing: in Portugal and Sweden Ev sales are up 24 per cent, in Spain 72 per cent in the first five months.

How are things in Italy?

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In May, Tesla registrations in Italy dropped 20.32% to 855 units, with the Model Y at 635, followed by the Citroen e-C3 (626) and Dacia Spring (613). According to data published by the Ministry of Infrastructure and Transport, the drop in Italy follows the rise in April (+29.28%) and March (+51.3%) and the drop in February (-54.46%). Thus, the balance for the first five months of the year is negative, with 4,771 registrations, -7.14% compared to the same period in 2024. For the whole of 2024, registrations of the Texan brand were down 5.91%. But overall, the Bev segment in Italy is growing in 2025. In the first five months +72.9% to 36,800 units and share increased from 3 to 5%. In May +42.7% compared to a year earlier and share from 3.6% to 5.1%.

Asian competition and image crisis

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Chinese brands such as Byd, MG (of Saic Motor) and Omoda (of the Chery group) are intercepting demand: +745%, +87% and +213% respectively in Spain since the beginning of the year. Tesla is losing share not because of a decline in interest in electric cars, but because of a lack of competitiveness.

In Sweden, the Model Y is overtaken by the Volkswagen ID.7; the Model 3 is beaten by the Porsche Macan Ev, BYD Seal and Xpeng G6. The Tesla range struggles in a rapidly changing market. In France, the brand disappears from the top ten, dominated by Renault, Citroën and Volkswagen. European manufacturers seem to have closed the technological and communication gap from the Elon Musk-led manufacturer.

Cold bag waiting for robotaxi

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On Wall Street, after a rally linked to Elon Musk's operational comeback, caution has returned. The month started out in negative territory (-3.8% as of Monday 2 June, at the time of this article's last update), as we approach one of the most delicate moments for the company: on 12 June, in Austin, the robotaxi service, the self-driving vehicles, will be launched. A step that Musk considers essential to relaunch margins and growth, after having cancelled the Model 2 project, a new model promised years ago to fill the gap in the sub-$30,000 price bracket.

But it is also thanks to the bet on artificial intelligence and autonomous driving - rather than industrial results - that Tesla continues to be valued as a tech company (capitalisation is back above one trillion dollars) rather than a car manufacturer: with a p/e ratio (at one year) of around 170, expectations remain high. And the market is waiting for the decisive execution phase.

European outlook and estimates for the second quarter

It remains to be seen whether in Europe Tesla is going through a negative phase due to the devastating impact on the brand's reputation, attributable to the CEO's political stances in recent months (support for ultra-right-wing European parties, full collaboration with President Donald Trump, except in recent days when he has disowned his choices in terms of public spending) or whether it is only the beginning of a more critical phase. After the slump in revenues and profits in the first quarter, analysts expect a stabilisation phase, albeit still with falling revenues and margins under pressure.

Certainly, the current offering - few models, including the flop of the Cybertruck maxi-pickup, and restyling that has been too long in coming - struggles to keep up with the Chinese and European offensive. The Shenzhen-based giant and now global leader in electric cars, Byd, is racing and gaining share (overtaking happened in both Europe and China). But brands like MG Motor are also making remarkable progress, including Italy, where the Tesla brand is more resilient than in Germany.

How it's going in the US and China

In addition to the European crisis, there was also a certain slowdown in the United States, Tesla's main market, where the share of global sales started to fall in the first months of 2025. Although May numbers are missing, the first quarter had already shown signs of fatigue. As for China, despite fierce local competition, Tesla sold around 39,000 cars in May, up 32% on April (but down 30% year-on-year). These figures confirm how crucial that market remains for the American carmaker, which has its main factory in Shanghai: in the first quarter of 2025, the Dragon accounted for 40% of total deliveries.

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