The government's strategy

Troops, deminers, missiles: the details of the Meloni line on Ukraine at the table of the Willing

At the Paris summit Italy's openness is minimal and the 'no' to sending soldiers to the field at the end of hostilities is clear

Ucraina, a Parigi la riunione della 'Coalizione dei Volenterosi'

4' min read

4' min read

Italy is in the group of the 26 Willing who announced yesterday that they had reached an agreement to set up a 'reassurance force' that will deploy troops 'by land, sea and air' as a security guarantee for Ukraine once hostilities cease. But compared to the emphatic tones that have characterised the public statements after the summit by Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, French President Emmanuel Macron and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has been conspicuous by her silence.

The Italian government's prudence

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Caution and low profile are the watchwords of the Italian government, sceptical about the possibility of a speedy conclusion to the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and, as always, little inclined to share Macron's hyperactivity. Meloni, in video link-up from Rome, was more concerned with planting stakes than flaunting optimism for an agreement that is in any case judged to be in principle (it is impossible to know today what Ukraine will really need after the truce) and, by the French leader's own admission, variable geometry: each country will do what it can, and above all what will be feasible on the basis of the different political sensitivities within it.

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Excluding the sending of Italian military personnel to Ukraine

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Italy knows something about it: the League of Matteo Salvini (the new ambassador to Moscow, Stefano Beltrame, was the Carroccio leader's diplomatic advisor at the time of the Metropol and until his appointment held the same role for the Minister of the Economy, Giancarlo Giorgetti) is ready to thunder against any direct commitment of our country in Ukrainian soil. This is also the reason for the first outright 'no' reiterated by Meloni: no Italian soldiers will be sent on the ground. The line had been agreed by the Prime Minister and her deputies, together with Defence Minister Guido Crosetto, in the meeting at Palazzo Chigi on 28 August.

No mention of any demining operations

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There, the handbrake was even pulled on the hypothesis of taking part in demining operations, albeit described as 'merely humanitarian' by Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani, who had recalled the special and recognised expertise in the field of both our military and our companies. But talking about it now is premature.

Yes to monitoring and training actions outside Ukraine

The only explicit commitment that Italy has undertaken as of now is to take part in 'monitoring and training' actions, but strictly 'outside Ukrainian territory' and in any case after the cessation of hostilities. In training,' diplomatic sources explain, 'our country already boasts a long experience that can be profitably put at the disposal of Kiev's needs.

Long-range missiles and NATO bases? Italy is not in the game

Even on the promise of supplies of long-range missiles to the Ukraine by the Volenterosi, highlighted yesterday by Starmer as an integral part of the agreement reached in Paris, the government distances itself. The same diplomatic sources exclude that Italy could be involved. This also applies to the provision of bases within NATO: it is not part of the availability offered so far by our country.

The precondition of Trump's involvement

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Very clear, however, is the precondition dictated by Italy for participation in the alliance: the participation of Donald Trump's USA. This is why, in the note issued by Palazzo Chigi at the end of the summit, it is stressed that security guarantees must be defined 'in a spirit of sharing between the two sides of the Atlantic'. It is no coincidence that, before the new round of the Volunteers, a restricted meeting was held in Paris between the US envoy Steve Witkoff, Meloni's diplomatic advisor, Fabrizio Saggio, and the counterparts of France, Germany and the United Kingdom. A new summit at diplomatic level is expected to be held next week.

Meloni's rejection of Moscow as a venue for peace negotiations

In any case, in the Volenterosi phone call with Trump, Meloni was clear about Italy's opposition to Moscow as a venue for peace talks (see Il Sole 24 Ore on newsstands). The judgement on Vladimir Putin's moves remains unchanged: he seems to have no intention of ending the conflict and wanting peace.

New sanctions on Russia, aid to Kiev on the way

It is also from here that the need to 'maintain collective pressure' on Russia is fully shared, also through the instrument of sanctions, to which Italy had already declared itself in favour through Tajani. Meanwhile, the government is working on the twelfth aid package to Kiev. This, say government sources, is concrete and immediate support that lives in the plane of reality. As if to say: the rest of the Volunteers' announcements resemble more a communicative fanfare than a programme ready to be activated at a moment's notice.

The 'political' leg of an ex-NATO mechanism

Having defined the military plan, however, Italy lacks the political framework. This is why the Prime Minister has insisted on promoting the Italian proposal for a collective security defence mechanism inspired by Article 5 of the NATO Treaty that could be activated even before the ceasefire. Although none of the partners has hinted at it, the government trusts that in the coming weeks it will begin to try to design it.

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