Vannacci votes confidence in the government but says no to the Ukraine decree: what will the centre-right do now?

The picture becomes more complicated. If the trust placed by the government on the Ukraine decree was intended to clarify who is in and who is out of the majority, the X-ray of the vote (207 yes, 119 no and 4 abstained) shuffles the cards. With a surprise incursion, in fact, the patrol of the three Vanaccian deputies (the former leghist Rossano Sasso and Edoardo Ziello, and the former Fdi Emanuele Pozzolo) says yes to the confidence (and no to the decree). A line dictated by the general, to demonstrate on the one hand the will to remain within the perimeter of the centre-right ("we are not an instrument of the left that wants to destabilise the nation") and on the other to remain firm on the stop to military aid to Kiev.

While, however, the Vanaccians want to dialogue with the current majority (to shift its axis to the right) it remains to be understood whether the opposite is true. When pressed on the possibility of an agreement with Futuro nazionale at the next elections, Forza Italia leader Antonio Tajani told Sky Tg24 that there were 'many differences as regards the values and contents of this new formation' and defined collaboration as 'difficult'. He then adds, however, that on the hypothesis of National Future in coalition 'the League will have the last word'.

But the League has so far vetoed the 'futurists'. Carroccio's group leader in the Chamber Riccardo Molinari, after the Vannaccians announced in the House that they would vote yes to the confidence and no to the decree, let himself go with a joke: "More than Marinetti's Futurism, it is Giolitti's transformism". And he crushes the double vote as a 'funny attempt to save the image', because 'it's clear that they have contradicted themselves if you make a party on purpose against the centre-right government because you accuse it of supporting Kiev and then at the first opportunity you vote confidence on that measure to the majority'.

But the game remains open. The elections are over a year away. The consistency of the new right-wing party is still to be tested (polls currently place them between 2 and 4%). FdI, embarrassed, is not closing to the alliance. And if it is true that for the League, keeping Vannacci out would help stem the loss of consensus by appealing to the useful vote, in the coalition the line of "not having enemies on the right" could eventually prevail so as not to benefit the centre-left. Nor should it be forgotten that the premier Meloni has yet to comment on the issue.