Confprofessioni Observatory

Young professionals are footing the bill for the generational imbalance

Incomes are lower and increasingly concentrated among the older age group. Even among women, the ratio of those under 35 to those over 55 has fallen below 1

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3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Italia’s professional workforce is ageing and young people are footing the bill. The regular report from the Confprofessioni Observatory confirms once again, in the words of its president Marco Natali, that ‘generational change has ground to a halt” and that it is time, in the words of Minister Marina Calderone, for “a reform that helps young people to grow”. to move away from “micro” models with “macro” problems.

Key figures from the report

The ‘Report: A Comparison of Generations – Demographics and Incomes’ is unsparing across the board, starting with the ageing of the population (over 50 years, the median age has risen by 50 per cent, from 33 to 49) to those under 35 with permanent employment contracts (24 per cent of the total, but only 16 per cent among the self-employed and 15 per cent among other independent workers). The median age of professionals reaches 50 among men and 46 among women, who, although on average younger, are rapidly converging towards the older age groups.

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The ratio of those under 35 to those over 55 highlights a generational turnover that was already weak in 2015 and has deteriorated further by 2025. Among men, the proportion of young people remains structurally low ; among women, the initial advantage narrows until, from 2022 onwards, it falls below the parity threshold.

As for generational differences (or privileges), in the late 1980s young self-employed people earned 20 per cent more than their older counterparts, whilst in 2022 they earn 16 per cent less. The analysis highlights a persistent generational gap: young people remain consistently below the mid-career bracket (aged 35–54), whilst seniors remain above it, with the gap in self-employment continuing to widen.

Young people at a disadvantage

“Our analyses show a systematic disadvantage for young people,” notes Ludovica Zichichi, a researcher at the Confprofessioni Observatory. Starting salaries are lower today, and the gap with older workers has tended to widen, particularly since the 2008 crisis, which disproportionately affected younger generations who had not yet established themselves in the labour market. Gender differences are intertwined with generational ones. Young women show slightly smaller gaps than young men, but only because the distribution of women’s incomes is more compressed. This is not an advantage but a sign of structural fragility.

Reform is needed

“Given the self-employment funds allocated to regulated professions under the Cohesion Decree – one billion – young people are opting above all for non-repayable vouchers,” said Minister Calderone - They do so because their model remains that of the single-practitioner practice: a ‘micro’ model for ‘macro’ problems. We have designed tools to encourage partnerships between professionals, to encourage the transfer of skills and generational renewal, but young people continue to choose other paths. And this is also because older professionals are not passing on this new vision of work to the younger generation. On 30 July, I will table the bill to reform the professions in the Chamber – a decisive step’.

An overview of the trends

Ageing: median age 49

The median age of the population has risen from 33 years in 1976 to 49 years in 2026. However, the proportion of the population of working age (15–64 years) remains stable at 63 per cent.

The decline in the youth population: the number of elderly people doubles

The proportion of young people aged between 0 and 14 has fallen from 24 per cent to less than 12 per cent between 1976 and the present day; at the same time the number of older people aged 65 and over has doubled, from just over 12 per cent to around 25 per cent of the population.

Self-employed professionals: men aged 50, women aged 46

The situation is more critical amongst the self-employed, where the median age is 50 for men and 46 for women.

Women, mostly aged over 55. And the number of women under 35 is falling

Professional women are, on average, younger. However, the female workforce is also gradually ageing: from 2022, the ratio of those under 35 to those over 55 will fall below the 50-50 mark.

Income: older people earn more. Young people are at a disadvantage

Income distribution is lower amongst younger age groups; it shifts upwards amongst middle-aged groups; and remains more stable in the later stages of a person’s career.

The peak is among those aged between 55 and 64. A 19 per cent decrease among those in their thirties

The 25–34 age group’s share of average income falls from 97 per cent in 1987 to 78 per cent in 2022. The peak income group shifts from the 45–54 age group to the 55–64 age group

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