Report

Bankitalia: above average growth in Lazio. Pnrr works completed or started at 52%

Lazio's economy grows thanks to exports and investments, while the construction sector weakens

by Andrea Marini

Operaio a lavoro. ANSA/CLAUDIO PERI

6' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

6' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

The economy in Lazio continued to grow at a moderate pace in the first half of 2025, in an international macroeconomic context characterised by a tightening of trade policies and geopolitical tensions. The Bank of Italy's Quarterly Indicator of the Regional Economy (ITER) reports a growth in output of 0.7% over the same period last year, a figure slightly above the national average. Activity levels in the region were sustained by foreign demand and investment expenditure, both public and private; consumption increased only slightly. This is the picture that emerges from the customary six-monthly November report of the Bank of Italy's Rome office, illustrated by Antonella Magliocco, director of the Rome office, Marco Gallo, head of the territorial economic analysis and research division, and Massimiliano Bolis, deputy head of the same division

Activity in industry benefited from an increase in exports

In industry in the narrow sense, the Bank of Italy's survey of turnover trends was positive. Sales were driven by exports, which grew at a rate (17.4 per cent) above the national average (2.1). In particular, sales to the United States of pharmaceutical products increased, benefiting from advance purchases due to fears of new tariff measures. The aerospace industry also increased significantly, while the difficulties in the automotive industry continued.

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The construction sector has weakened

In construction, activity recorded a shrinkage, although it remained at historically high levels. Hours worked decreased (-3.7 per cent). Demand for private works declined, conditioned by the reshaping of tax incentives; on the other hand, growth in public works continued, supported by the works of the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (NRP) and the Jubilee of the Catholic Church. In the first half of the year, investment spending in public works by territorial entities grew by 13 per cent compared to the same period in 2024.

The impact of the Jubilee

The tertiary sector was supported by business services; it also benefited from the tourist flows linked to the Jubilee. In the services sector, the regional picture was still positive. The Bank of Italy survey showed an increase in sales for a large part of the enterprises. Economic activity was more dynamic for business services and transport, storage and communication services. Trade, on the other hand, suffered from the modest dynamics of consumption. In the tourism sector, the Jubilee-related events had a positive impact on the attendance and expenditure of foreign tourists, which grew by 38.9 and 25.7 per cent respectively in the first half of the year. However, day-to-day spending was moderate and down by about 10 per cent. In the hotel sector, admissions increased by a much smaller amount (2.5 per cent in the first eight months of the year).

Pnrr, construction sites started or completed 52%

As of July 2025, public works tenders for a total value of EUR 3.2 billion had been launched in Lazio. The award rate was 84 per cent of the total value tendered, a rate in line with the rest of the country. The progress of construction sites showed that the works completed or started accounted for 52 per cent of the total value of the tenders awarded, a rate slightly lower than the overall figure for the country.

Business economic and financial conditions remained positive

According to the Bank of Italy survey, the share of companies expecting to close the year in profit is 74%. The financial liquidity index, already at historically high levels, increased slightly in the first six months. Credit to businesses returned to growth after two years of contraction (1.9 per cent at the end of June), supported by a recovery in investment demand. The latter benefited from the fall in the cost of financing, linked to the monetary easing cycle, which started in June 2024. The average rate on loans earmarked for investment financing fell by 0.8 percentage points over the last quarter of 2024, to 4.5 per cent.

Strongly declining unemployment rate

Employment increased by 1.2 per cent, which is slightly lower than the national rate (1.4). The dependent component grew more strongly than the self-employed component (1.3 and 0.7 per cent, respectively). In the non-agricultural private sector, the hiring of employees (net of terminations) was concentrated in the sector aggregating commerce, accommodation, catering and transport, which is characterised by strong seasonality and a large use of temporary relationships (about two-thirds in the first half of 2025). The employment rate increased to 64.3 per cent (62.6 in Italy). The unemployment rate dropped from 7.2 per cent to 6.3 per cent and the Italian rate from 7.2 per cent to 6.7 per cent.

increasing income in real terms and, to a lesser extent, consumption

The increase in employment supported the growth of nominal household income (2.9 per cent according to the Bank of Italy's estimate). The inflation rate in the half-year average increased to 1.9 per cent and income in real terms grew by 0.9, in line with Italy. According to the Bank of Italy's estimate, consumption in real terms grew by 0.4 per cent (0.7 in Italy), reflecting a cautious attitude in household spending decisions.

Mortgages are growing

Household debt in the region increased at a slightly higher rate than at the end of 2024 (2.1 per cent year-on-year in June 2025 versus 1.2 per cent in December 2024). The increase was supported by the recovery in demand for mortgages for the purchase of homes. The flow of new mortgages granted in the first six months of the year, net of subrogations and replacements, rose to EUR 3 billion compared to EUR 2.3 billion disbursed in the first half of 2024. The cost of fixed-rate home purchase loans, to which almost all new disbursements can be attributed, remained unchanged compared to the end of 2024 (3.4 per cent); the variable rate, on the other hand, fell from 4.4 to 3.6 per cent; the cost differential between the two types of contract has therefore almost disappeared. Consumer credit continued to grow at a faster pace than mortgages: at the end of last June, the change was 5.4 per cent year-on-year, slightly lower than that recorded in December 2024.

Houses, increasing purchases

In the first six months of 2025, the growth in house purchases and sales in Lazio continued (7.4 per cent on the same period of the previous year); the increase was less pronounced than the Italian average. Transactions of non-residential properties also increased, although at a lower rate (2.9 per cent). In the region, house prices grew faster than in the rest of the country, while the decline in prices for non-residential properties that has been going on for more than ten years appears to be easing.

Credit risk remains stable at low levels

The overall riskiness of loans still appears contained. The flow of new impaired loans in relation to performing loans at the beginning of the period (deterioration rate) remained substantially unchanged at 1.4 per cent. The indicator remained stable for both households (0.7 per cent) and businesses (3.3). The overall riskiness of loans still appears contained.

Financial savings continue to grow

Savings accumulated in the form of bank deposits continued to grow (2.1 per cent at the end of June), albeit at a lower rate than in December 2024 (2.8 per cent). This slowdown was entirely attributable to the productive sector, whose liquid assets remained almost stable, while growth strengthened for consumer households (to 2.9 from 1.7 per cent). The value of securities held with the banking system by households and firms increased much more than deposits (15.6 per cent); the increase was only partly due to a price effect (about half). Purchases of government bonds and shares increased above all.

Lazio Region: 20 million for those who invest in the territory

"The Bank of Italy's analysis confirms Lazio as one of the driving regions of the Italian economy, with growth above the national average. Invest in Lazio is not just a platform to attract new investments, but a fundamental piece of a structural and lasting development strategy". This is how Roberta Angelilli, vice-president and councillor for economic development, commerce, craftsmanship, industry and internationalisation of the Lazio Region put it. "We are creating a task force, a one-stop operational shop, to accompany companies in administrative procedures, simplify bureaucracy and guarantee certain timescales," concluded Angelilli. "Added to this is financial support: a 20 million euro non-repayable tender is active to support the projects of Italian and foreign SMEs that intend to create or expand production units in Lazio.

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