Innovation

Digital, Italy lags behind and on skills it risks falling far behind the EU targets

I-Com: Italy 11th in the EU and on basic digital skills at the current stage of progress the 2030 targets will be attainable in 2465

by Andrea Biondi

3' min read

3' min read

More than 130 years behind the required target for the digitisation of SMEs. If, on the other hand, we talk about digital skills, at the current rate of growth the targets to be reached by 2030, as required by the EU, would be more than 400 years behind schedule.

This is not a typo: for basic digital skills the risk is to hit the target in 2465. These are the numbers, certainly provocative, contained in the study by I-Com, a think tank led by economist Stefano da Empoli, which today will present the Report 'Connecting Italy: the innovation of the Country System in the European digital decade'. What emerges six years from 2030 - the deadline set by the EU - is that Italy is at a crossroads, with steps forward made, in some cases even considerable, but also numerous challenges that could slow down the achievement of the goals set by Brussels.

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Digitisation, Italy 11th in the EU

Also because Italy, on the whole, is losing positions on digital compared to other EU countries. This is what the synthetic Ibi (I-Com ultrabroadband index) developed to summarise information on demand and supply of connectivity in the EU Member States says. The variables selected are 14: they range from SMEs that sell at least 1% of their turnover online, to households that are connected at least 100 Mbps, to fixed ultrabroadband connections, to digital skills of households.

Thus we read, from the I-Com study, of an Italy that in one year has dropped from ninth to 11th place in the ranking with its 64 points (far from the 81 of Denmark or the 73 of Spain or the 72 of Sweden). On the connectivity side, in mobile networks the situation is even better than the EU average, but the delay in coverage in fixed networks weighs heavily: considering the percentage of households covered by Ftth and Fttb, Italy is lagging behind with a percentage lower than the average (59% vs. 64%) and very far from that of the best performers Spain and Romania, Portugal and Bulgaria, where coverage percentages reach 95%, 92% and 89% respectively.

Within this framework I-Com went to study how close Italy is to the Digital Decade targets to be reached by 2030. For mobile networks as for fixed ones (100% coverage of the territory) the target should be reached by 2025, in the first case, and by 2029 in the second.

SMEs and artificial intelligence lagging behind

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The situation is different if one focuses on other parameters. With regard to the digital transformation of businesses, the objective is that at least 90% of SMEs in the EU should reach a basic level of digital intensity, using advanced technologies such as big data or even cloud or artificial intelligence. By 2023, Italy, with 60.7 per cent, is better placed than the EU average (57.7 per cent), but with a growth rate that would only reach the target in 2170. Another crucial sector on which Italy is lagging behind is artificial intelligence. The EU target is for 75 per cent of European companies to use advanced technologies such as AI by 2030. Currently, however, only 5% of Italian companies have adopted such technologies. Again, the target will be difficult to reach in the timeframe envisaged. Projections indicate that the 60 per cent target will not be reached until 2045 at the earliest. Well beyond the deadline set by the EU.

The e-skills challenge

It gets worse, much worse, on digital skills. As far as 'advanced' ones are concerned, Italy already ranks last in the EU in terms of the share of ICT graduates in the total, with just 1.5%, far from both the European average (4.5%) and the other main EU economies such as Germany (5.5%), Spain (5.2%) and France (4.1%). Within this framework, ICT specialists represent just 4.1% of the workforce, below the EU average of 4.8%. At the Italian growth rate I-Com has calculated that the target of 7.3% will not be reached before 2074.

The greatest lag, however, is in basic digital skills. Here Italy is in fifth-last place with 45.8%: 10% less than the EU average (55.6%). Advancing at the current rate (equal to a paltry +0.1% per year)," writes I-Com, "it seems impossible both to hit the target and to propose a realistic time perspective on its achievement". In any case, if we were to use the current growth rate as a reference, the target would be reached in 2465. An eternity. Certainly the history of innovations has taught that they are often refractory to statistics and ready to surprise with unexpected leaps forward. But the I-Com study nevertheless indicates that the road is marked out. And that Italy must now run it for real.

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