The speech to the Bundestag

Merz: 'Germany will have the strongest conventional army in Europe'

First speech in the House for the Chancellor, after the shuddering confidence obtained on 6 May, at the second attempt. "The armed forces will have all the necessary financial resources". Full support for Ukraine. Muted tone on immigration to hold together the two souls of the black-red coalition

by Gianluca Di Donfrancesco

Friedrich Merz (EPA)

3' min read

3' min read

With Alternative für Deutschland's breath always on his neck in the polls, Friedrich Merz returned to the Bundestag on 14 May for his first speech as chancellor. The leader of the Cdu-Csu tried to go beyond the shuddering investiture of 6 May, when, having failed the first count, he needed a second attempt to gain confidence. Things never seen in post-war Germany.

"All resources needed"

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Merz must erase the shadow of the false start and promised a turnaround to revive the tired German economy and to make the army 'the most powerful conventional armed force in Europe'. The Bundeswehr will have 'all the financial resources it needs', the chancellor assured. He secured the main card back in March when, abjuring his faith in budgetary rigour, he proposed and obtained the reform of the debt ceiling, which exempts all defence spending exceeding 1% of GDP (a threshold of around EUR 43 billion) from the constitutional constraint. A dowry that at this point only finds a limit in EU rules, loosened precisely to allow member states to invest more.

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According to anticipations, the defence budget will exceed 60 billion this year, up from 52 billion in 2024. In order to increase the number of military personnel (at least 100,000 more are needed), however, there will be no return to compulsory conscription, which was suspended in 2011 by Angela Merkel. Instead, a new voluntary military service will be established.

The Shadow of False Start

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Merz went over the points of the coalition contract signed with the Social Democrats. His was above all a very calm speech. The vehemence as leader of the opposition is behind him and the chancellor has already been burnt by the uncertain majority that supports him: the 'small' black-red coalition has 328 seats, a narrow margin compared to the threshold of 316. Consensus for the measures will have to be built with careful preparatory work if further slips are to be avoided. The first objective remains to avoid offering the Germans the indigestible spectacle of a quarrelsome majority, like that of the coalition between the SPD, Greens and Liberals, which collapsed before its time. An intention already declared in the title of the government pact: 'Responsibility for Germany'.

Germany Country of Immigration

The measure of the new caution lies in the praise heaped on the Spd's partners and in the tones he used on immigration, a field on which, before the elections, Merz had moved far to the right, almost chasing Afd, with whom he had even attempted a collaboration in Parliament, challenging the totem of the cordon sanitaire against the ultra-right. It was precisely from the leader of Afd, Alice Weidel, that the conservative Merz heard the 'accusation' he probably never thought he would receive in life, that of being 'a chancellor of the left'.

The first measures announced by his Minister of the Interior, Alexander Dobrindt, were in fact the promised crackdown on illegal entry. In the Bundestag, Merz emphasised that 'Germany is and remains a country of immigration'. And it is no coincidence that the chancellor reserved little time for the topic that dominated the election campaign and only at the end of his 55-minute speech.

The challenge of deterrence

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Merz obviously reiterated full support for Ukraine, but did not mention the delivery of the Taurus missiles, on which the SPD continues to hold back.

The Chancellor has devoted a lot of space to foreign policy: since the day after the vote on 23 February, Merz has made it clear that it is his priority. And this is where rearmament comes in. In the geopolitical framework delimited by the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the paradigm shift in the White House, the basic idea, which is increasingly asserting itself in Berlin and Brussels, is that economic strength really is not enough. ''Our goal is a Germany and a Europe so strong that we will never have to use our weapons,'' the chancellor said.


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