Agricultural markets

The heat is causing fruit to spoil: wholesale prices are falling

A good harvest for peaches and apricots, combined with high temperatures, is increasing the volume of produce available and putting downward pressure on prices. However, the number of hectares under cultivation is falling

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

The tropical climate is driving down the prices of summer fruit, which – in addition to benefiting from a favourable harvest – is now more affordable for consumers, despite the growing demand for fresh, thirst-quenching fruit that is rich in vitamins.

“We are seeing a general fall in wholesale prices,” confirms Fabio Massimo Pallottini, president of Italmercati (22 facilities across the country, 7 million tonnes of goods handled annually, €11 billion in turnover). He explains why: “The severe heatwave is accelerating the spoilage of fruit after harvest, prompting operators to prioritise a rapid flow of goods.” 

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“Apricot prices continue to fall, with prices ranging from 1.30 to 1.80 euros per kilogram depending on the variety,” says Pallottini. “It’s been an excellent season for peaches, and particularly for nectarines, which are seeing falling prices and are very good value, especially for small to medium sizes, offering consumers excellent opportunities to save money whilst beating the summer heat,” he concludes.

In general, the forecasts for the 2026 season for stone fruit – the ‘queen of summer’ – are positive, indicating either an increase in production or substantial stability. Above all , the 24 per cent increase in cherries stands out, with production expected to reach 120,000 tonnes: “This is the most marked recovery compared to the disastrous 2025 season,” comments Elisa Macchi, director of CSO-Italy.

Estimates compiled by the research centre at Ferrara also show that apricot production is facing a sharp structural decline: the area under cultivation has fallen from 20,200 hectares in 2021 to 16,500 in 2026 (-20% over 5 years, -4% in the last year alone) due to sensitivity to frost, low profitability and plant diseases. Production, however, is estimated at 194,000 tonnes, 1 per cent higher than in 2025. A recovery is being seen in the North (Emilia-Romagna and Veneto) following the frost of 2025; production is down in the Centre-South (Campania, Basilicata, Sicily) due to crop rotation and previous water stress, with the exception of Calabria.

For peaches and nectarines (peche noci, ed.), however, the decline in cultivation area has slowed significantly (-1% over the last year, remaining stable at 40,800 hectares). The area under peaches (-3%) and ‘percoche’ peaches (-5%) is falling, whilst that under nectarines remains stable. However, good yields – excluding percoche peaches – guarantee a supply for this summer estimated at 867,000 tonnes (+3% on 2025). Furthermore, the recovery is widespread in both the North and the South, ensuring a continuous harvest schedule for the market.

The area devoted to plum cultivation remains essentially stable at 11,200 hectares (though down from 12,000 a few years ago) for plum cultivation, with production this year estimated at 175,000 tonnes (+2% on 2025). Production is rising in Emilia-Romagna (Chinese-Japanese varieties) and Veneto. Campania remains stable, with a decline in early-ripening varieties, whilst Piedmont has seen a sharp decline due to the cold weather in early spring.

Finally, the markets are dominated by the reassuring round shapes of watermelons and melons (the latter characterised by a burst of varietal innovation). According to wholesale price surveys carried out by BMTI, netted melons – produced mainly in Lazio and Lombardy – range between 0.80 and 1.40 euros per kg, with peaks of 1.60 euros per kg when sourced from the most suitable areas of Lombardy. Smooth-skinned melons are also seeing falling prices, settling at between 1.50 and 2 euros per kg in the wholesale market. Watermelons are now in full season and prices have fallen by 15.6 per cent, ranging from 0.45 to 0.80 euros per kilogram.

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