The survey

Rising approval ratings for Trump: implications for the presidential campaign

Trump's approval rating rises as Biden withdraws: what implications for the election?

2' min read

2' min read

"It has been the greatest honour of my life to serve as president. And while it was my intention to seek re-election, I believe it is in the best interests of my party and the country to retire and focus solely on my duties as president for the remainder of my term," said Joe Biden in a letter posted on X.

The polls, moreover, were already pointing in this direction. According to a survey conducted by Abc-Ipsos, for 61% of Americans Joe Biden would have to withdraw from the White House race.

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In parallel,the approval rate for Donald Trump saw a significant increase. Following the assassination attempt, the former president and Republican candidate received a favourable impression from 40% of Americans. The figure represents the highest level of appreciation for Trump in four years and seems to suggest a positive change in the public perception of the Republican leader.

In terms of fundraising, Donald Trump seems to have overtaken Joe Biden in the second quarter of the year (April-June). According to a comparative analysis of their respective campaign data published by the Financial Times, fundraising groups aligned with Trump amassed a total of $431.2 million. This figure is $98.9 million more than that raised by pro-Biden groups, which reached a total of $332.4 million.

These developments could have major implications for the ongoing presidential campaign. Rising approval ratings for Trump, combined with his success in fundraising, could strengthen his position.

On the morning of 21 July, Biden did not seem to hint at backtracking: 'It's a miracle. For once Donald Trump told the truth. This is the most important election of our lifetime. And I will win it,' he wrote on X. Except he later retracted everything with that letter, also on X.

The Republican speaker of the House Mike Johnson warned that an attempt to replace Joe Biden in the presidential race could lead to lawsuits after some 14 million people voted for him in Democratic primaries across the country. "It would be wrong, and I think illegal under some states' rules, for a handful of people to go into a back room and change the candidate because they don't like him anymore. That's not how it's supposed to work," he said.

The ball is now in the Dem's court.

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