Between East and West

In Istanbul, a discussion on the economic and political challenges of the future

Today and tomorrow sees the 19th edition of the Eurasian Forum in Verona, an event organised by Conoscere Eurasia. Topics under discussion include Turkey’s independent strategy and relations between Moscow and Washington, as well as issues such as energy and trade disputes

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Il presidente turco Recep Tayyip Erdogan EPA/NECATI SAVAS

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

The old international order is in crisis; the new one is struggling to take shape. It was this observation that provided the starting point for the 19th Eurasian Economic Forum in Verona, which is taking place on 22 and 23 October in Istanbul, bringing together institutional representatives, diplomats, business leaders and economists from over thirty countries. Established in 2008 to foster economic and political dialogue between entities belonging to different geopolitical systems, the Forum is organised by the non-profit association Conoscere Eurasia, chaired by Antonio Fallico. The aim is to keep channels of dialogue open between Europe, Russia, Asia and the Middle East, at a time marked by wars, sanctions and trade tensions.

Turkey’s role as a mediator

The opening session provided a snapshot of the transformations currently underway, with differing views on the future of relations between the major powers. The Forum was opened by Turkish Minister for the Economy Mehmet Simsek, who quoted Antonio Gramsci: ‘The old world is dying. The new one is slow to emerge, and in this twilight monsters are born.’ The most observant see in this tribute a clear signal of collaboration with Italia. Simsek emphasised Turkey’s diplomatic role, from its commitment to finding solutions to regional conflicts to its attempts at mediation between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East.

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The minister also highlighted the growth of the defence industry as one of the key changes in the Turkish economy: the sector’s turnover has risen from $200 million in 2002 to nearly 11 billion in 2026. Ankara is simultaneously seeking to strengthen its role as an energy and logistics hub between Asia and Europe, by developing road and rail links with the Persian Gulf and the Jordanian port of Aqaba. Trade agreements and tourism round off a strategy aimed at reducing the country’s vulnerability to international tensions.

The Turkish position was also highlighted by Fallico, who described Ankara as an example of strategic autonomy: a member of NATO, yet at the same time capable of maintaining relations with Russia, China and India and participating in various forms of international cooperation. A balance that enables it to deal with opposing parties and to increase its influence, from the Caucasus to the Mediterranean.

The Russian scenario

The issue of relations between Moscow and Washington was raised in the Russian delegation’s statements. Kirill Dmitriev, the Russian President’s envoy for investment and economic cooperation with foreign countries, described the resumption of dialogue between the two countries as positive, arguing that there is scope for cooperation in the energy sector. Dmitriev also stated that the Nord Stream 1 and 2 gas pipelines will eventually become operational again, describing their reactivation as ‘inevitable’. According to the Russian representative, the rising cost of energy in Europe will make it difficult to rule out supplies from Moscow in the long term.

In a similar vein, but with regard to liquefied natural gas, Novatek’s chief executive, Leonid Mikhelson, has called on the European Union to reconsider the ban on imports of Russian LNG due to come into force on 1 January 2027. Russian companies, he explained, are already seeking alternative markets, but some of the supply could still reach the European market. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Grushko, meanwhile, has revived the proposal for a ‘Great Eurasian Partnership’ promoted by Vladimir Putin, stating that the initiative remains open to European countries as well.

Prodi: ‘Without Europe, there is no peace’

The speech by Romano Prodi, president of the Foundation for Cooperation among Peoples and former President of the European Commission, as well as a former Italian Prime Minister, took a different tone. Referring to the meeting between the US envoy Steve Witkoff and Vladimir Putin in St Petersburg and the planned talks between the United States and China in Shenzhen in November, Prodi raised the possibility of a ‘mini-Yalta’, that is, an agreement between the major powers capable of establishing rules and limits for the future. Such an agreement, he warned, cannot, however, exclude Europe.

“Without Europe, there can be no peace,” he said, warning of the risk that an energy agreement between Washington and Moscow could end up further isolating the continent. In Prodi’s view, an agreement between the major powers would be fragile without European participation and without the mediation capabilities of the Union.

In his analysis, Fallico also devoted some space to the BRICS, ‘a cooperation framework that is not necessarily directed against the West, but which allows member countries to coordinate certain interests without relying on Western institutions’. The presence within it of states with deep-seated rivalries, such as China and India, highlights both the limitations and the potential of a system based on voluntary membership and consensus.

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